Analyzing the off-season “if’s,” JJ’s demotion and the use of Chad Durbin.[...]
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We all know Giancarlo Stanton is famous for his powerful bat and strong arm, but some debate has arose about his defensive ability. Stanton has committed three errors so far this season and Thursday had another ball bounce off his glove. That ball was ruled a triple even though Stanton should have caught it and the runner would score on a sac-fly. The Fish would go on to lose that game by one run.
In my opinion, Stanton is a great athlete that can get decent jumps, has above-average speed, and has a great arm. These qualities give him a higher UZR than Morrison, who should be playing first base, and Bonifacio, who has a weak arm. Stanton is ranked 13th of MLB right fielders in UZR. This week I ask readers, not based on bat, arm, or insticts...How would you rate Stanton's glove?
MLB RF Error Leaders
MLB RF UZR Leaders
After today's 8-4 loss, the Marlins made a pretty big decision regarding some of their young players. Chris Coghlan and Michael Dunn were sent to Triple-A and Dan Jennings and Bryan Petersen got called up. Bryan Petersen won't be a starter from day one, but he could see a fair amount of innings in the majors this year. Let's look at Petersen's career, and what some popular projection systems see Petersen doing in 2012.
Bryan Petersen is a 6'0'' 190 lb. left-handed hitting outfielder that has bounced back between Triple-A and the majors the last couple years. He's only twenty-six, but unfortunately he's not that much different than he was when was 24. The Marlins will use Petersen off of the bench, but in the case that any of the Marlins outfielders get injured, he should be the next option. Petersen will never be a premier major league outfielder, but he could be a good 4th outfielder for a long time to come.
In 2010, Petersen's first year in the majors, he was two for twenty-five. That's not exactly the way you want your major league career to get started, but at least he got some MLB experience. In sixty-seven Triple-A games in 2011, Petersen was nearly unstoppable. He had thirty-six walks compared to only forty-one strikeouts, and he had a .428 wOBA. A lot of Petersen's success was thanks to a .386 BABIP, but he showed progress nonetheless. Petersen's success led to a short call up in May, then an extended look with the Marlins July 2nd through the rest of the season.
Petersen's 2011 season was about what we expected from him. He hit .265 with a 108 wRC+. I don't think he proved he can be an everyday MLB outfielder, but he did prove that he is ready for the majors. In eighty-two at-bats at Triple-A New Orleans, Petersen hit .338 with a .415 OBP. He didn't really surprise anyone by performing well in Triple-A, but now he'll have to prove he can hit in the majors.
In terms of defense, Peterson is thought to be capable of playing a slightly below-average center field. If he is playing corner outfield, he should be a better than average defensive outfielder. The Marlins plan on using him at all three outfield positions, so it will be interesting to see how he fares at different outfield positions.
Bryan Petersen's projections from these three systems are very similar. The only major discrepancy in these three is playing time. I tend to agree with the Marcel projections, which see Petersen getting 281 at-bats. Actually, the Marcel projections seem like the most accurate predictions in my opinion. He'll probably steal a couple of more bases, though, and he probably won't have such a high slugging percentage.
Marcel projections by Tom Tango: 281 AB's .260/.341/.391 8 SB, 5 HR
ZiPs projections by Baseball Think Factory ( Original not ROS): 483 AB's 259/.334/.379 12 SB, 9 HR
PECOTA projections by Baseball Prospectus: 268 AB's .251/.324/.3635 5 SB, 4 HR
This was a nice move by the Marlins. Petersen isn't going to be the best outfielder on the Marlins, but he will provide more value than Chris Coghlan. Hopefully, Coghlan can find his old form by getting regular playing time in Triple-A. If Petersen can get on base and be a reliable pinch-hitter who will give the Marlins quality at-bats, he should have no problem staying in Miami for a long time.
ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) Texas Rangers outfielder Josh Hamilton left Sunday night’s game against Tampa Bay with stiffness in his back.
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In December I argued that the AL Central wasn't weak, it was average. Since 2005, we've had two eerily similar results for the division winner. In 2006, 2007, 2010, and 2011, the division winner had 94-96 wins. In 2008 and 2009, there were one game playoffs at 86 and 88 wins.
I essentially objected to a straw man argument that I saw lingering behind discussion of the Royals chances, namely that the division is weak and that if you get to 85 wins you're a contender. Of course, division strength is a multi-layered discussion, and we're all in agreement that the AL Central isn't the AL East.
Anyway, the Royals have had just about everything imaginable go wrong since the beginning of Spring Training, and they've played poorly in their first 21 games. Nevertheless, at 6-15 the Royals are just 5.5 games out of first and just 4.5 games behind division favorite Detroit.
(updated 4.29.2012 at 8:01 PM EDT)
For a team that has already managed to lose 12 straight games, it's pretty incredible to only be 5.5 games out.
OK, actually, it isn't. Other than the Angels -- who are an amazing 9.5 games behind Texas - nobody's technically buried yet. The Red Sox are in last, but are only 3.5 games back, the Marlins are in last, but are only 5.5 games out too. Nevertheless, the Indians, White Sox, and Tigers appear to be roughly similar, interchangeable blobs.
So to quote Yost, I believe, the Royals are just six good days from first place. Our Time.
The 04/07/12 winner is...xquiles21x (Your post-game bottle is ready Mr. Guillen).
You will receive 1 point. Congratulations!
Last weeks nominees are d.o.g.o.b.g.y.n., ocelotfox, and marlinsfan315.
Last weeks photo included Jose getting tied up with a Cubbie.
Jair Jurrjens pitched well in his first start since his demotion, Andrelton Simmons reached all 5 times he came to the plate, Tommy La Stella, Evan Gattis, and Matt Lipka kept their hot streaks going, and Elmer Reyes extended his hitting streak to 7 games.
Gwinnett Braves 2, Toledo Mud Hens 1, 10 innings
Jose Constanza plated the winning run with a sacrifice fly in the top of the 10th inning. Over his last 3 games, the outfielder is 5-12 with 3 RBI and 2 walks. Luis Durango had a pair of hits and his league leading tenth stolen base. In his last 6 games, he's gone 10-23 with 2 doubles, a triple, a RBI, 4 walks, and 2 steals. Jair Jurrjens' first start since being demoted from Atlanta was a good one, as he allowed just 1 run over 7 innings. He was a little wild, walking 4, including back to back walks in the fourth that led to former Brave Matt Young scoring Toledo's lone run. Dusty Hughes made his sixth straight scoreless appearance, pitching 7 innings in that span. Jaye Chapman picked up the win in extra innings with his eighth straight scoreless appearance. During that stretch he's also picked up 2 saves and has struck out 13 in 11 innings while allowing just 3 hits and 3 walks.
Julio Teheran will start the series finale against Toledo Monday night.
Mississippi Braves 3, Huntsville Stars 7
Andrelton Simmons reached base every time he came to the plate, collecting 4 singles and a walks, and also stole a pair of bases. In his last 9 games, the 22 year old has gone 15-35 with 5 doubles, 10 RBI, 5 walks, and 3 steals. He's walking in 8% of his plate appearances, compared to 5% last season. Adam Milligan hit his first homer of the year, and also added a double, driving in a pair of runs. That broke a 0-7 skid in his last 2 games that saw him strike out 5 times. Gary Moran didn't walk anyone today, but he was very hittable, allowing 8 hits and 5 runs in just 4.1 innings pitched. Ryan Buchter made his eighth straight scoreless appearance, and in that span he's struck out 13 over 10.1 innings.
The M-Braves have an off day on Monday, then begin a series against the Mobile Bay Bears on Tuesday, with Jose Lugo set to start the opener.
Lynchburg Hillcats 7, Frederick Keys 6
Evan Gattis had another big day, with 2 doubles, 2 walks, and 2 RBI. In his last 4 games, he's gone 5-15 with 3 doubles, a homer, and 3 RBI. He currently leads the Carolina League in hits (30), homers (9), RBI (29), total bases (64), and OPS (1.289). Tommy La Stella, who is leading the league in OBP at .480, had a fine day as well, with a pair of hits, including a double, a walk, and 2 RBI. In his last 3 games, he's gone 6-13 with 2 doubles, a homer, and 5 RBI. After a cold start, Matt Lipka has been on fire lately, with a 3 hit day today to extend his hitting streak to 5 games. During that span, he's gone 9-21 with a doubles, 3 walks, and 2 stolen bases. Tim Smith had a great debut with the team, reaching in 4 of his 5 plate appearances. Gus Schlosser's 4 walks were a season high, but he managed to work around them, allowing 1 earned run, and 2 unearned runs, in 6.1 innings of work.
The Hillcats head back to Lynchburg tomorrow, where Ronan Pacheco will take the mound as they begin a series against the Carolina Mudcats.
Rome Braves 5, Kannapolis Intimidators 8
AJ Holland had an awful start, allowing 11 hits and 8 runs in just 4 innings. The 22 year old righty only allowed 3 runs over 19.2 innings in his first 3 starts, but in his last 2 starts he's given up 13 runs in 8 innings. In his last 3 starts, Carlos Perez allowed 22 earned runs over 9 innings, but, pitching in relief today, he managed to work 3 shutout innings. Felix Marte had a pair of singles and drove in a pair of runs, extending his hitting streak to 4 games. During that span, he's gone 5-18 with a double and 5 RBI. Jakob Dalfonso is doing his best to work his way back to Lynchburg, with hits in all 4 games he's played in for Rome since his demotion, going 7-17 with a double, a triple, and 3 RBI. Elmer Reyes hit his first homer of the year, extending his hitting streak to 7 games. He's gone 9-31 with 4 doubles, a triple, a homer, and 3 RBI during that span. One thing he hasn't done this year is walk, taking just 2 free passes in 93 trips to the plate, an even lower walk rate than the 4% he put up last season.
Rome will take on Kannapolis in the series finale tomorrow morning at 10:30 AM.
The Orioles walked-off in dramatic fashion today against the Oakland Athletics. Down 2-0 in the bottom of the ninth the Orioles got the leadoff man on and the tying run to the plate on plays that were pure hussle. JJ Hardy and Adam Jones beat out two slow grounders and forced the A's to make plays - the A's would fail and the result would be the tying runs in scoring position with one out and Matt Wieters at the plate.
Wieters launched a high fly ball to deep left-centerfield that looked like it had a chance to get out of the park but it hit off the wall for a 2RBI, game-tying double. After a Chris Davis intentional walk Wilson Betemit came up and tagged a 2-1 fastball over the right-centerfield wall for a walk-off three-run homer to give the Orioles a a dramatic, exciting and outright wonderful late-inning win over the A's.
Betemit's first career walk-off homer salvaged a win from a frustrating day for the Orioles' offense going up against the genetically re-engineered neo-human that is Bartolo Colon. As you, dear reader, will remember: Colon was nearly out of baseball before having a controversial stem-cell rehabilitation procedure done. Since then he has been one of the more reliable pitchers in baseball. The portly frame of Colon was working hard and effectively all day. His velocity is certainly done, but his command was impeccable and the Orioles could not muster much.
Tommy Hunter had another solid day on the bump for the Orioles. hunter went seven innings giving up two runs on seven hits. He did give up another homerun, his eighth on the short season, but all in all hunter had another strong outing and gave the Orioles a chance to win. He was simply getting out-pitched by Colon all day.
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OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Third baseman Brandon Inge has agreed to sign with the Oakland Athletics, a person with knowledge of the negotiations said Sunday.
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After tough loss Friday night in which the Giants youngster Eric Hacker pitched well but not quite as good as Padres youngster Corey Luebke, the Giants tightened up and beat the Padres Saturday and Sunday to take the weekend series from San Diego.